Papers and Publications

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Official Project 'Deliverables'

D11 - Convergence - How can it be a part of the pathway to sustainability

Abstract: This study explores the barriers and opportunities for the C&C concept to be applied to other aspects of socio-ecological sustainability. This analysis does not attempt to examine in detail the political challenges of its implementation, but rather asks whether and where it is relevant. The paper unpacks the C&C framework used for climate change, and asks which of its core principles could be applicable to a pathway towards the end goal of a sustainable human society. READ

D51 - Dynamic Modelling of Resources common to the WP3 Case Studies

WP3 performed dynamic modeling studies looking at key minerals and metals in food producon and supply chain. The results were provided with seven extra deliverables.’ These are summarised and attached in full as appendices to this aggregating paper. Most have been published or are in the process of peer review. Together they comprise an overwhelming case for a step-change in recycling and for the importance of this to both current and Future Generations. This has also changed the perspective of Convergence to include resources much more centrally in addition to the bio-capacity of the Earth’s system stressed in the ‘Boundaries’ concept.

D33 - Convergence E-Book

As part of the CONVERGE project's research, we've sought out inspirational examples of initiatives from all fields of life – including policy, business, research and community initiatives, etc. – in different parts of the world that address the imperatives of both living within the limits of the planet (contraction) and sharing its resources equitably (convergence).

We present the following e-book as a summary of the research carried out. It provides information on the methodology used, introduces 28 case studies (initiatives) studied in detail from different countries and fields, as well as analysis and evaluation of these.

In the e-book the Convergence Mapping Tool is also introduced, which helps show how various types of initiatives and organizations manage to address this double challenge of living more equitably within limits as well as provides an indication of how they could develop further towards more Convergence.

The e-book can be downloaded here.

The background paper to the e-book is available here.

 

 

D34 Creating a Converging World - Policy Briefing and Recommendations 

GreenDependent’s work in the CONVERGE project focused on finding ways of behaving, working and relating that reduce consumption of materials while at the same time increase the equity of sustainable livelihoods across populations and nations. We explored convergent relationships across different scales from local, national, global-regional to global and have researched current examples of Convergence in communities, as well as policies, business and indicators which may help in the transition to sustainability. Breifing available here.

Additional Outputs

(These we have generated in parallel to the deliverables we were contracted to produce - click on title to view)

Peak Metals, Minerals, Energy, Wealth, Food and Population; Urgent Policy Considerations for A Sustainable Society. Harald Ulrik Sverdrup, Deniz Koca and Kristín Vala Ragnarsdóttir. Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering B 1 (2012) 5:499-533. Formerly part of Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering, ISSN 1934-8932

The Icelandic Economic Collapse. A Systems Analysis Perspective on Financial, Social and World System Links. Arnarson M., Kristinsson Th., Bjarnason A., Sverdrup H. and Ragnarsdottir K.V. (2011) School of Engineering and Natural Sciences, University of Iceland, Report, 94 pp. 

The use of systems dynamics to evaluated the interconnection between economic, societal and global systems Kristinsson Th., Arnarson M., Bjarnason A., Sverdrup H. and Ragnarsdottir K.V. (2011) The Icelandic economics collapse. Rannsóknir í Félagsvísindum XII, Viðskiptafræðideild, 267-278 (in Icelandic).

The Converge project – Sustainability and equity within the Earth boundaries. Kristinsdottir S.M., Ragnarsdottir K.V. and Davidsdottir B. (2011)  Þjóðarspegillinn, Rannsóknir í Félagsvísindum XII, Stjórnmálafræðideild, 500-510 (in Icelandic).

 

PAPERS AND BOOK CHAPTERS INSPIRED BY THE CONVERGE PROJECT

Economics

A new post-crash constitution in Iceland? Ragnarsdottir K.V. (2013) Solutions, 4, (1) March 2013. 

Biophysical Planetary Limits

The history of limits to growth. Nörgård J.S., Peet J. and Ragnarsdottir K.V. (2010) Solutions, 1(2), 59-63, Feb-March.

Assessing Long Term Sustainability of Global Supply of Natural Resources and Materials. Ragnarsdóttir K.V., Sverdrup H.U. and Koca D. (2012)  In C. Ghenai (ed.) Sustainable Development. Energy, Engineering and Technologies - Manufacturing and Environment. Chapter 5. Pp 83-116. Intechweb publishers (www.intechweb.org). ISBN 978-953-51-0165-9. DOI: 10.5772/28118 .

Challenging the planetary boundaries I: Basic principles of an integrated model for phosphorous supply dynamics and global population size. Ragnarsdottir K.V., Sverdrup H.U. and Koca D. (2011) Ninth International Symposium on the Geochemistry of the Earth´s Surface (GES-9), Boulder, Colorado, USA. Applied Geochemistry, 26, S303-304.

Challenging the planetary boundaries II; Assessing the sustainable global population and phosphate supply, using a systems dynamics assessment model. Sverdrup H.U. and Ragnarsdottir K.V. (2011) Ninth International Symposium on the Geochemistry of the Earth´s Surface (GES-9), Boulder, Colorado, USA. Applied Geochemistry, 26, S307-310. 

The World 5 model; Peak metals, minerals, energy, wealth, food and population; urgent policy considerations for a sustainable society. Sverdrup H.U., Koca D. and Ragnarsdottir K.V. (2012) Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 3975-4001. Curran Associates Inc. Proceedings. ISBN: 978-1-62276-414-3.

Modelling the gold market, explaining the past and assessing the physical and economical sustainability of future scenarios. Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Christer Granath.  In; Schwanninger, M., Husemann, E., Lane, D., Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, at St. Gallen, Switzerland, July 22–26, 2012: Model-based Management. 1-22

Ragnarsdottir K.V. (2008) Rare metals getting rarer. Nature Geoscience 1, 720-721 BROKEN LINK

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Peak Metals, Minerals, Energy, Wealth, Food and Population.docx_ Urgent Policy Considerations for A Sustainable Society.pdf3.93 MB
D11 _ Convergence.pdf467.58 KB
H+V-1.pdf572.72 KB
H+V-2.pdf1.47 MB
Modelling the Gold Market.pdf1.61 MB
CONVERGE_WP6_PolicyBrief_D34_spread.pdf404.04 KB